On October 18, 10 banks in India, including both private and public sector lenders, are set to announce their September quarter earnings. The list of banks includes HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, YES Bank, Punjab National Bank, IDFC First Bank, IndusInd Bank, IDBI Bank, The Federal Bank, RBL Bank, and J&K Bank. Other notable companies that will announce their Q2 earnings are UltraTech Cement, UTI AMC, SML Isuzu, and Can Fin Homes.
Analysts expect the Q2 earnings for India Inc. to rebound after a muted Q1, supported by a mix of cyclical and structural factors. The financial sector is expected to be a key driver of overall earnings growth. Banks and non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) are benefiting from steady credit demand across retail, agriculture, and MSME segments, while asset quality has remained stable. Despite slight pressure on net interest margins, profitability is being supported by healthy loan growth, controlled slippages, and recoveries from past stressed accounts.
In terms of asset quality, analysts expect a comfortable outcome for large banks, with private banks appearing to be more comfortable lending aggressively in unsecured segments such as credit card and personal loans. Mid-size banks are expected to see improvement in microfinance asset quality, although credit costs will remain elevated. The focus will be on forward flows in early delinquency buckets and X bucket collection efficiency.
Regarding margins, most analysts believe that margins have bottomed out in Q2FY26, but the decline will be limited for mid-size banks. Public sector banks are expected to witness relatively lower QoQ margin decline, while large private banks are expected to see a sharper decline. The net interest margin (NIM) for Axis Bank, which has already announced its Q2 earnings, came in at 3.73% for the quarter. The bank reported a 26% decline in standalone net profit to ₹5,089.64 crore annually for the quarter ended September 2025.
Overall, the Q2 earnings announcements are expected to be closely watched by investors, with a focus on asset quality, margins, and profitability. The financial sector is expected to be a key driver of overall earnings growth, and the performance of the banks will be closely monitored.