The COVID-19 pandemic led to a significant expansion of health insurance subsidies under the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) in 2021. These subsidies, which were designed to make health insurance more affordable for millions of Americans, are set to expire at the end of 2022. However, there is a possibility that these subsidies could be revived retroactively if Congress takes action.

The ARPA subsidies have had a substantial impact on the affordability of health insurance, with many individuals and families seeing significant reductions in their monthly premiums. According to a report by the Kaiser Family Foundation, the average monthly premium for a benchmark silver plan decreased by 23% in 2021 due to the subsidies. This has led to an increase in health insurance enrollment, with over 14.5 million people signing up for coverage through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces during the 2022 open enrollment period.

If the subsidies are allowed to expire, it is estimated that over 3 million people could lose coverage, and many more could see significant increases in their premiums. This has led to widespread concern among healthcare advocates, who are urging Congress to take action to extend the subsidies. Some lawmakers have proposed extending the subsidies through 2025, while others have suggested making them permanent.

While there is no guarantee that Congress will take action, there is precedent for retroactively extending expiring subsidies. In 2015, Congress retroactively extended the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP) funding, which had expired several months earlier. Similarly, in 2020, Congress retroactively extended several healthcare provisions, including funding for community health centers and the National Health Service Corps.

If Congress were to revive the ARPA subsidies retroactively, it would likely require legislative action, which could be challenging given the current political climate. However, if lawmakers are able to come to an agreement, it could provide significant relief to millions of Americans who are struggling to afford health insurance. Retroactive extension of the subsidies would also help to stabilize the health insurance market and prevent disruptions to coverage for those who are currently enrolled.

In conclusion, while the expiration of the ARPA subsidies is a pressing concern, there is a possibility that they could be revived retroactively if Congress takes action. With the fate of the subsidies uncertain, healthcare advocates and lawmakers are urging Congress to act quickly to extend the subsidies and prevent disruptions to coverage for millions of Americans.