Standard Chartered has revised its economic growth forecast for Hong Kong in 2025, increasing it to 2.8 percent. This is a notable upgrade from the bank’s previous prediction, driven by a combination of factors that are expected to boost the territory’s economy.
One of the primary reasons for the revised forecast is the anticipated improvement in trade and exports. As the global economy continues to recover, Hong Kong’s trade sector is likely to benefit, with exports expected to increase. This, in turn, will have a positive impact on the territory’s GDP growth.
Another factor contributing to the revised forecast is the expected growth in domestic demand. As the local economy continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic, consumer spending and investment are likely to increase, driving economic growth. The Hong Kong government’s efforts to stimulate the economy through various measures, such as tax cuts and investment incentives, are also expected to contribute to the growth.
Standard Chartered’s economists also point to the territory’s strong financial sector as a key driver of growth. Hong Kong’s status as a major financial hub, with a highly developed banking system and a favorable business environment, is expected to attract more foreign investment and support economic growth.
In addition, the bank’s economists note that the Chinese government’s efforts to support the economy, including measures to boost domestic consumption and investment, are likely to have a positive impact on Hong Kong’s economy. As a major trading partner with China, Hong Kong is well-positioned to benefit from the mainland’s economic growth.
While there are still risks to the forecast, including the potential for a global economic downturn and ongoing geopolitical tensions, Standard Chartered’s economists believe that the positive factors will outweigh the negatives. Overall, the revised forecast of 2.8 percent GDP growth for Hong Kong in 2025 reflects a more optimistic outlook for the territory’s economy, driven by a combination of external and domestic factors.
The upgrade in the forecast is also a testament to the resilience and adaptability of the Hong Kong economy, which has faced numerous challenges in recent years, including the COVID-19 pandemic and social unrest. As the economy continues to recover and grow, it is likely to remain a major financial and trade hub, supporting economic growth and development in the region.