According to a report by Standard Chartered, the dollar may not be as strong in 2025, a prediction that contradicts the widespread assumption that the US currency will continue to rise in value. The bank’s analysts have predicted that the dollar’s strength will be renewed later in 2025, rather than experiencing a prolonged period of growth.
The report cites several factors that could contribute to this reversal, including the potential for the Federal Reserve to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes, the strengthening of other major currencies such as the euro and yen, and the impact of global trade tensions on the US economy. Additionally, the report notes that the dollar’s current strength is largely a function of its status as a safe-haven currency, which could dissipate as global markets stabilize and investor sentiment improves.
The report also highlights the challenge that the US faces in maintaining its economic growth momentum, with the country’s economy experiencing a slowdown in the second half of 2023 and the potential for inflation to rise again in 2025. This, combined with the increasing risk of a global economic downturn, could lead to a reevaluation of the dollar’s value and a potential reversal of its upward trend.
Furthermore, the report suggests that the dollar’s role as a reserve currency may also be overshadowed by other currencies, particularly the euro, which has been gaining popularity as a safe-haven asset due to the European Central Bank’s more dovish monetary policy.
In conclusion, according to Standard Chartered’s report, the dollar’s strength is expected to be renewed later in 2025, driven by factors such as the potential for slower interest rate hikes, the strengthening of other major currencies, and the impact of global trade tensions on the US economy. The report challenges the widespread assumption that the dollar will continue to rise in value and highlights the potential for a reversal in its value in the future.